Sraz Sjedinjenih Američkih Država i Narodne Republike Kine u kontekstu Tukididove zamke

master's thesis

• Author: Antun Rogić
• Mentor: Boško Picula (mentor)
• Granter: University of Zagreb; (Croatian Defence Academy "Dr. Franjo Tuđman"); Zagreb
• Defense date and country: 2021-07-14, Croatia
• Scientific / art field, discipline and subdiscipline: SOCIAL SCIENCES; Political Science
• Scientific / art field, discipline and subdiscipline: SOCIAL SCIENCES; Security and Defense Science

Abstract

Svrha rada jest pružiti obuhvatan i podroban prikaz opsega i značaja strelovitoga uspona moći
Narodne Republike Kine u posljednjih nekoliko desetljeća te utjecaja koji će formacija ovog
novog centra moći imati na uspostavljeni, post-hladnoratovski međunarodni poredak sa
Sjedinjenim Američkim Državama kao neosporenom, dominantnom svjetskom silom. Ovaj
suvremeni sraz vladajuće sile i one u usponu sagledan je u kontekstu Tukididove zamke pri čemu
su istaknuti i obrađeni glavni strukturalni efekti koji su se u prošlosti pokazali najrelevantnijima
po konačan ishod sraza suprotstavljenih sila. Nadalje, obrada tisućljetne povijesti kineske
civilizacije pruža iscrpan uvid potreban za razumijevanje kompleksnoga svjetonazora moderne
Narodne Republike Kine, a opis aktualne državne strategije, njenih izazova i reformi, nudi osvrt
trenutačnog stanja unutar države. Također, prezentirana je kulturološka posebnost
suprotstavljenih država te istaknuti načini na koje ista utječe na oblikovanje odabranih
vanjskopolitičkih pravaca dvaju supersila. Naposljetku, izloženi su najvažniji potencijalni izvori
ugroze stabilnosti odnosa suvremenih supersila upletenih u ovu najnoviju inačicu Tukididove
zamke, istaknute povijesne lekcije kako iz iste pronaći mirnodopski izlaz te opisane moguće
strategije odgovora Sjedinjenih Američkih Država na ubrzani uspon novog pretendenta s
Dalekog istoka.

Abstract (english)

The purpose of this paper is to offer a comprehensive and detailed overview of the extent and
significance of the rapid rise of power of the People's Republic of China in the past few decades
and the impact that this formation of a new center of power will have on the already established,
post – Cold War international order with the United States as the undisputed, dominant world
power. This contemporary clash of a ruling power and a rising one is analized through the
context of Thucydides's trap, highlighting and addressing the main structural effects that have in
the past proven to be the most relevant for the final outcome of a clash between opposing forces.
Furthermore, the analysis of the millennial history of Chinese civilization provides an exhaustive
insight necessary to understand the complex worldview of the modern People's Republic of
China, while a description of the current national strategy, its challenges and reforms, offers an
overview of the ongoing situation within the state. Additionally, the paper explores the
importance of distinct cultural differences between these opposing states and the effect that they
have on foreign policy development. Finally, the paper depicts the most important potential
sources of future instability within the relations between the superpowers involved in this latest
version of Thucydides's trap, highlights relevant historical lessons on how to successfully
navigate the peaceful outcome of the clash, and describes possible response strategies of the
United States of America to the accelerated rise of this new contender from the Far East.

• Keywords: Narodna Republika Kina; Sjedinjene Američke Države; Tukididova zamka
• Keywords (english): People's Republic of China; United States of America; Thucydides's trap
• Language: croatian
• URN:NBN: urn:nbn:hr:249:796360
• Study programme: Title: Military Leadership and Management; Study programme type: university; Study level: graduate; Academic / professional title: MAGISTAR/MAGISTRA VOJNOG VOĐENJA I UPRAVLJANJA (MAGISTAR/MAGISTRA VOJNOG VOĐENJA I UPRAVLJANJA)
• Type of resource: Text
• File origin: Born digital
• Access conditions: Closed access
• Created on: 2022-01-10 14:14:23